quasi in rem

Monday, January 26, 2004

Undaunted Quasi Predictions Continue!

Eventhough I am solidly 0-2 in Presidential Primary Predictions I will continue undaunted!

John Kerry..........45%
Howard Dean........23%
John Edwards.......17%
Wesley Clark.........7%
Joe Lieberman.......6%
Other.................2%

So why the big Kerry win despite recent polls showing a tight race? A recent poll showed that 56% of New Hampshire voters felt that John Kerry had the best chance of beating Bush in November. For primary voters, I think that this is the single most important issue. Dean will still get his core support and the maverick Edwards will curry favor among the New Hampsirites sense of obligation in rewarding the up and comer.

As far as Wesley Clark is concerned, recent interviews and debates have demonstrated he may be quite nuts. And unfortunately for Joe Lieberman, I think "Joe-mentum" is Joe-bogus and the only Joe-vote he is Joe-going to Joe-get is that of Joe-mama.


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