quasi in rem

Monday, October 25, 2004

For a decision as to where the Campaigns should spend their money... see - election.princeton.edu

Right now campaigners should focus on:

"The top states are IA (686 jerseyvotes), OH (528), NV (508), FL (372), NM (304), WI (295), PA (295), MO (199), AR (151). "

Also he has this breakdown of the undecideds:

5 points towards Kerry: Kerry 349 EV, Bush 189 EV, Kerry win 100%.
4 points towards Kerry: Kerry 335 EV, Bush 203 EV, Kerry win 99.98%.
3 points towards Kerry: Kerry 319 EV, Bush 219 EV, Kerry win 99.3%.
2 points towards Kerry: Kerry 299 EV, Bush 239 EV, Kerry win 92%.
1 points towards Kerry: Kerry 279 EV, Bush 259 EV, Kerry win 67%.
no swing (decideds only, flat turnout): Kerry 259 EV, Bush 279 EV, Kerry win 32%.
1 points towards Bush: Kerry 243 EV, Bush 295 EV, Bush win 91%.
2 points towards Bush: Kerry 232 EV, Bush 306 EV, Bush win 99%.
3 points towards Bush: Kerry 220 EV, Bush 318 EV, Bush win 99.9%.

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